Sweden's Moderates sit just 0.7 percentage points behind the Social Democrats in Indikator Opinion's October poll, Sveriges Radio reported. The Moderates land at 26.3 percent against 27.0 percent for the Social Democrats, according to Aftonbladet and Expressen.
The Moderates are up 6.5 percentage points compared with the election result. The increase is explained by the party taking voters from all directions, from the Tidö parties as well as from the Social Democrats and the Centre Party. At the same time, the Tidö parties would not secure a Riksdag majority because the Liberals fall below the Riksdag threshold at 3.8 percent.
The Christian Democrats and the Sweden Democrats also fall back, to 4.8 and 16.3 percent respectively. The declines for the Liberals and the Christian Democrats are statistically certain.
"I think what is reflected in this is an impatience that voters feel, and I feel it too. Of course I want a government in place, and it is important right now that all parties take responsibility for the election result," Tobias Baudin, party secretary of the Social Democrats, told the radio.
Apart from the Moderates, the Green Party is the only party to perform better than its election result, reaching 7.3 percent. That marks an increase of 1.1 percentage points. The remaining parties perform worse than they did in the election result.
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